Improvement season-to-season

Changes in the Total Performance Scores of regular World Cup athletes. The tables show improvement and decline in z-scores from this weekend’s Season Opening in Östersund compared to trimester 1 of last season (roughly December 2020, only athletes with at least 3 races in last winter’s trimester 1). You can do your own season-to-season comparisons for all stats in the Patreon bonus area.

Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.

Men

2021–22 z-Scores compared to Trimester 1 of 2020–21 | Non-Team events

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score	Change
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score	Change
1	Todev	Blagoy	BUL	2	0.84	-0.53	-0.94	0.23	-1.06
2	Gow	Scott	CAN	2	-0.25	-1.56	-1.74	-0.81	-1.00
3	Dudchenko	Anton	UKR	2	-0.76	-0.53	-1.04	-0.73	-0.72
4	Brown	Jake	USA	2	-1.05	-0.53	1.02	-0.65	-0.54
5	Schommer	Paul	USA	2	-0.11	-1.21	-0.15	-0.44	-0.50
6	Desthieux	Simon	FRA	2	-1.53	-1.21	-0.72	-1.34	-0.49
7	Stvrtecky	Jakub	CZE	2	-0.78	-0.18	0.95	-0.40	-0.44
8	Kobonoki	Tsukasa	JPN	2	0.24	-1.21	0.33	-0.17	-0.41
9	Dovzan	Miha	SLO	2	0.17	-1.21	-1.40	-0.42	-0.40
10	Zahkna	Rene	EST	2	0.45	-0.87	0.43	0.07	-0.37
11	Strolia	Vytautas	LTU	2	-0.90	-0.53	1.30	-0.53	-0.36
12	Tsymbal	Bogdan	UKR	2	0.11	-0.53	-1.50	-0.27	-0.31
13	Stefansson	Malte	SWE	2	-0.21	1.19	0.86	0.32	-0.29
14	Claude	Fabien	FRA	2	-1.73	-0.18	-1.50	-1.26	-0.28
15	Gow	Christian	CAN	2	-0.47	-1.21	-1.33	-0.79	-0.27
16	Leitner	Felix	AUT	2	-1.08	-0.18	-0.55	-0.76	-0.27
17	Pidruchnyi	Dmytro	UKR	2	-0.54	-0.87	-0.82	-0.67	-0.24
18	Stalder	Sebastian	SUI	2	-0.04	-0.18	-0.97	-0.19	-0.22
19	Magazeev	Pavel	MDA	2	0.24	-0.53	-1.34	-0.17	-0.21
20	Latypov	Eduard	RUS	2	-1.00	-1.21	-0.01	-0.95	-0.15
21	Siimer	Kristo	EST	2	1.03	0.50	0.31	0.79	-0.10
22	Dombrovski	Karol	LTU	2	-0.35	-0.18	0.21	-0.23	-0.09
23	Claude	Florent	BEL	2	-0.22	-0.53	0.28	-0.25	-0.08
24	Nelin	Jesper	SWE	2	-1.32	-0.18	0.52	-0.77	-0.04
25	Femling	Peppe	SWE	2	-0.47	0.16	-1.29	-0.38	-0.02
26	Smolski	Anton	BLR	2	-1.28	-0.18	0.23	-0.78	-0.02
27	Lazouski	Dzmitry	BLR	2	-0.20	-0.18	1.04	-0.05	+0.01
28	Horn	Philipp	GER	2	-0.86	0.16	-0.90	-0.57	+0.05
29	Christiansen	Vetle Sjaastad	NOR	2	-1.50	-0.87	0.64	-1.06	+0.10
30	Boe	Tarjei	NOR	2	-1.38	-0.87	-0.59	-1.14	+0.10
31	Bormolini	Thomas	ITA	2	-0.31	-0.53	-0.93	-0.45	+0.10
32	Bauer	Klemen	SLO	2	-0.04	0.50	-1.09	-0.01	+0.11
33	Szczurek	Lukasz	POL	2	1.13	1.19	0.55	1.08	+0.11
34	Guigonnat	Antonin	FRA	2	-1.21	0.16	-0.39	-0.71	+0.11
35	Hiidensalo	Olli	FIN	2	-0.21	0.16	0.80	0.02	+0.12
36	Banys	Linas	LTU	2	0.95	0.50	-0.41	0.66	+0.12
37	Eder	Simon	AUT	2	-0.41	-1.21	-1.55	-0.78	+0.15
38	Slotins	Roberts	LAT	2	0.42	0.85	1.49	0.67	+0.15
39	Samuelsson	Sebastian	SWE	2	-2.00	0.16	0.44	-1.08	+0.15
40	Rees	Roman	GER	2	-0.90	0.16	-0.15	-0.50	+0.18
41	Mukhin	Alexandr	KAZ	2	0.28	0.85	0.45	0.46	+0.18
42	Varabei	Maksim	BLR	2	-0.95	1.19	1.39	-0.05	+0.20
43	Boe	Johannes Thingnes	NOR	2	-1.61	-1.21	0.02	-1.30	+0.20
44	Iliev	Vladimir	BUL	2	-0.46	0.50	0.38	-0.08	+0.22
45	Jacquelin	Emilien	FRA	2	-1.99	0.50	-0.63	-1.10	+0.23
46	Ozaki	Kosuke	JPN	2	-0.18	0.85	1.97	0.38	+0.26
47	Baloga	Matej	SVK	2	1.35	0.50	-0.14	0.92	+0.27
48	Trsan	Rok	SLO	2	1.20	-1.56	-0.68	0.18	+0.27
49	Windisch	Dominik	ITA	2	-0.42	1.19	-1.09	-0.03	+0.28
50	Loginov	Alexander	RUS	2	-1.21	0.16	-0.48	-0.73	+0.29
51	Langer	Thierry	BEL	2	-0.10	0.50	-0.08	0.08	+0.30
52	Rastic	Damir	SRB	2	0.66	0.50	3.22	0.92	+0.33
53	Bocharnikov	Sergey	BLR	2	-0.82	0.85	-0.79	-0.33	+0.34
54	Laegreid	Sturla Holm	NOR	2	-0.71	-1.56	-0.91	-0.98	+0.34
55	Fillon Maillet	Quentin	FRA	2	-1.36	-0.18	-0.71	-0.94	+0.39
56	Doll	Benedikt	GER	2	-0.98	-0.18	-0.28	-0.67	+0.39
57	Krcmar	Michal	CZE	2	-0.74	0.16	0.08	-0.38	+0.40
58	Fak	Jakov	SLO	2	-0.37	-1.21	-0.85	-0.67	+0.42
59	Harjula	Tuomas	FIN	2	0.62	0.16	-1.65	0.21	+0.43
60	Yaliotnau	Raman	BLR	2	-0.51	1.53	1.18	0.28	+0.43
61	Weger	Benjamin	SUI	2	-0.37	-0.87	0.17	-0.45	+0.43
62	Komatz	David	AUT	2	0.16	-0.53	0.54	0.01	+0.45
63	Guzik	Grzegorz	POL	2	0.14	1.19	0.71	0.51	+0.46
64	Bionaz	Didier	ITA	2	0.11	-0.18	0.61	0.09	+0.47
65	Doherty	Sean	USA	2	0.02	0.85	-0.24	0.23	+0.48
66	Sima	Michal	SVK	2	0.55	0.85	0.08	0.58	+0.54
67	Dale	Johannes	NOR	2	-1.24	0.16	0.88	-0.58	+0.64
68	Tachizaki	Mikito	JPN	2	1.03	-0.87	0.68	0.44	+0.65
69	Eberhard	Julian	AUT	2	0.06	0.16	-0.27	0.05	+0.72
70	Sinapov	Anton	BUL	2	0.42	1.53	0.76	0.78	+0.72
71	Eliseev	Matvey	RUS	2	0.71	-1.21	-0.26	0.04	+0.85
72	Vaclavik	Adam	CZE	2	0.03	1.88	1.19	0.70	+0.88
73	Ponsiluoma	Martin	SWE	2	-1.53	2.56	-1.12	-0.29	+0.91
74	Gerdzhikov	Dimitar	BUL	2	0.45	2.56	0.15	1.03	+0.99
75	Hofer	Lukas	ITA	2	0.14	-0.53	0.93	0.04	+1.00
76	Garanichev	Evgeniy	RUS	2	0.59	0.85	-0.80	0.50	+1.21

Women

2021–22 z-Scores compared to Trimester 1 of 2020–21 | Non-Team events

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score	Change
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score	Change
1	Bendika	Baiba	LAT	2	-0.74	-0.87	-0.34	-0.73	-0.83
2	Lie	Lotte	BEL	2	-0.31	-1.28	-0.67	-0.63	-0.61
3	Sola	Hanna	BLR	2	-1.29	-0.05	-1.47	-0.95	-0.55
4	Nigmatullina	Uliana	RUS	2	-0.60	-1.68	-0.33	-0.88	-0.43
5	Magnusson	Anna	SWE	2	-0.72	-0.46	-0.13	-0.57	-0.37
6	Davidova	Marketa	CZE	2	-1.24	-1.68	-0.15	-1.24	-0.37
7	Klimina	Darya	KAZ	2	0.16	-0.05	2.04	0.33	-0.35
8	Jislova	Jessica	CZE	2	-0.37	-0.46	-0.51	-0.41	-0.30
9	Fialkova	Ivona	SVK	2	-0.48	1.18	0.35	0.10	-0.25
10	Alimbekava	Dzinara	BLR	2	-1.46	-1.28	-0.44	-1.29	-0.23
11	Weidel	Anna	GER	2	-0.09	-2.09	-0.74	-0.75	-0.23
12	Avvakumova	Ekaterina	KOR	2	0.27	-0.46	-0.06	0.02	-0.22
13	Lescinskaite	Gabriele	LTU	2	0.88	-1.68	0.76	0.12	-0.21
14	Charvatova	Lucie	CZE	2	-0.88	0.77	-1.04	-0.42	-0.19
15	Brorsson	Mona	SWE	2	-1.09	-0.46	-0.84	-0.88	-0.18
16	Bescond	Anais	FRA	2	-1.32	-0.05	-0.29	-0.83	-0.17
17	Puskarcikova	Eva	CZE	2	-0.44	-0.46	-0.11	-0.40	-0.16
18	Vittozzi	Lisa	ITA	2	-0.92	0.36	-1.99	-0.68	-0.15
19	Eder	Mari	FIN	2	-1.05	-0.05	1.45	-0.46	-0.14
20	Hauser	Lisa Theresa	AUT	2	-0.95	-0.87	-1.97	-1.05	-0.14
21	Kondratyeva	Anastassiya	KAZ	2	1.80	-0.87	3.00	1.17	-0.13
22	Chevalier-Bouchet	Anais	FRA	2	-1.21	-0.05	-1.16	-0.87	-0.10
23	Lien	Ida	NOR	2	-0.92	-0.05	1.01	-0.43	-0.07
24	Irwin	Deedra	USA	2	0.30	0.36	0.19	0.31	-0.05
25	Braisaz-Bouchet	Justine	FRA	2	-1.65	0.36	-0.40	-0.91	-0.05
26	Todorova	Milena	BUL	2	-0.65	0.77	-0.26	-0.19	-0.03
27	Kalkenberg	Emilie Aagheim	NOR	2	-0.25	-0.05	-0.71	-0.25	-0.01
28	Oeberg	Elvira	SWE	2	-2.15	0.77	-0.91	-1.15	+0.00
29	Dzhima	Yuliia	UKR	2	-0.74	-0.05	-0.23	-0.48	+0.03
30	Roeiseland	Marte Olsbu	NOR	2	-1.63	-0.46	-1.32	-1.25	+0.05
31	Herrmann	Denise	GER	2	-1.23	-0.87	0.41	-0.93	+0.06
32	Preuss	Franziska	GER	2	-1.51	-0.05	-0.83	-1.00	+0.06
33	Kruchinkina	Elena	BLR	2	-0.35	-0.05	-0.35	-0.26	+0.07
34	Mironova	Svetlana	RUS	2	-0.82	0.36	-0.44	-0.43	+0.11
35	Klemencic	Polona	SLO	2	0.02	1.18	0.13	0.37	+0.11
36	Tachizaki	Fuyuko	JPN	2	0.06	-0.87	0.93	-0.11	+0.12
37	Chevalier	Chloe	FRA	2	-1.02	1.18	-0.30	-0.29	+0.12
38	Lunder	Emma	CAN	2	-0.04	-1.28	-2.13	-0.65	+0.16
39	Egan	Clare	USA	2	-0.51	-0.46	0.51	-0.37	+0.17
40	Tomingas	Tuuli	EST	2	-0.31	-0.46	-0.01	-0.32	+0.18
41	Kuklina	Larisa	RUS	2	-0.58	-0.05	-0.61	-0.43	+0.19
42	Gasparin	Selina	SUI	2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.59	-0.20	+0.20
43	Persson	Linn	SWE	2	-1.21	0.77	-0.99	-0.61	+0.21
44	Hinz	Vanessa	GER	2	-0.31	-0.46	-0.13	-0.33	+0.21
45	Kocergina	Natalja	LTU	2	0.41	0.36	1.16	0.49	+0.24
46	Hettich	Janina	GER	2	-0.51	-0.05	-0.61	-0.39	+0.25
47	Lehtla	Kadri	EST	2	1.76	-1.28	-0.41	0.62	+0.32
48	Tandrevold	Ingrid Landmark	NOR	2	-1.19	-0.05	0.46	-0.66	+0.33
49	Eckhoff	Tiril	NOR	2	-1.63	1.18	-0.82	-0.71	+0.34
50	Oeberg	Hanna	SWE	2	-1.67	0.77	-1.40	-0.93	+0.34
51	Hojnisz-Starega	Monika	POL	2	-0.33	0.36	-0.20	-0.11	+0.35
52	Kadeva	Daniela	BUL	2	0.61	0.77	-0.06	0.58	+0.38
53	Janka	Erika	FIN	2	1.50	0.36	-0.19	0.97	+0.38
54	Beaudry	Sarah	CAN	2	1.26	-1.28	-0.90	0.27	+0.41
55	Haecki	Lena	SUI	2	-0.23	0.36	-1.25	-0.18	+0.41
56	Knotten	Karoline Offigstad	NOR	2	0.23	-1.68	-1.25	-0.50	+0.42
57	Maeda	Sari	JPN	2	-1.01	3.23	-0.57	0.27	+0.42
58	Zdouc	Dunja	AUT	2	0.51	-1.28	-0.40	-0.11	+0.42
59	Gasparin	Elisa	SUI	2	-0.12	0.36	-0.12	0.02	+0.49
60	Gasparin	Aita	SUI	2	0.04	0.36	-0.80	0.03	+0.49
61	Schwaiger	Julia	AUT	2	0.07	-0.46	0.32	-0.05	+0.49
62	Zuk	Kamila	POL	2	-0.33	1.59	0.75	0.36	+0.58
63	Simon	Julia	FRA	2	-1.12	1.59	-1.38	-0.36	+0.58
64	Wierer	Dorothea	ITA	2	-1.16	-0.05	1.65	-0.50	+0.59
65	Minkkinen	Suvi	FIN	2	0.51	-0.05	0.55	0.36	+0.60
66	Horvatova	Henrieta	SVK	2	2.24	-0.46	-0.11	1.18	+0.61
67	Rieder	Christina	AUT	2	0.61	-0.46	0.31	0.27	+0.61
68	Semerenko	Valentina	UKR	2	0.14	-0.05	-0.86	-0.03	+0.62
69	Bekh	Ekaterina	UKR	2	0.39	1.59	-0.95	0.58	+0.66
70	Leshchanka	Iryna	BLR	2	-0.11	0.36	0.56	0.11	+0.79
71	Reid	Joanne	USA	2	-0.15	1.59	1.37	0.53	+0.81
72	Talihaerm	Johanna	EST	2	0.88	1.18	1.12	1.00	+0.83
73	Hachisuka	Asuka	JPN	2	1.71	1.59	1.89	1.70	+1.08
74	Sabule	Annija	LAT	2	2.91	0.77	-0.01	1.94	+1.20
75	Kazakevich	Irina	RUS	2	-0.69	3.64	0.53	0.71	+1.31

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Improvement season-to-season

Men

Women

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